11 Jun
11Jun

A professional and focused analysis of the residential real estate industry review – April 2025 , as it appeared in the report of the Chief Economist's Department at the Ministry of Finance:


Key Trends: Free Real Estate Market in a Crash

  1. Collapse in free market transactions :
    • Only 5,433 transactions in the free market – a 20% decrease compared to April 2024.
    • Contractor sales in the free market fell to 1,543 apartments – a sharp decline of 43% year-on-year (!).
    • The rate of new apartments sold "on paper" fell to 64% - a monthly decrease of 3 percentage points and an indication of growing panic among buyers.
  2. Effect of Bank of Israel restrictions :
    • The decrease is coordinated with the entry into force of the Bank of Israel restrictions at the end of March 2025 (limiting the rate of deferred payment and “balloon” loans).
    • In areas such as Netanya, Be'er Sheva, and Tel Aviv, there was a sharp drop in the frequency of transactions with financing benefits – a decrease of up to 30 percentage points (!).
  3. A puzzling gap between the decline in sales and cash flow :
    • Despite the collapse in sales, contractors' cash flow stood at 6.3 billion NIS , 37% higher than April last year (!).
    • The findings suggest early payments by buyers or manipulations that smell like an attempt at a positive "accounting presentation" just before the quarterly reports.

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